Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 14.659545 16.787547 19.050292 21.628338 24.476915 27.520896 31.012215
2024-12-29 11.949626 14.758409 17.919765 21.717327 26.129910 31.069935 36.991933
2025-01-05 9.974071 13.145376 16.890872 21.591101 27.278657 33.884187 42.077809
2025-01-12 8.677284 12.107984 16.332644 21.834530 28.720722 36.961959 47.469145
2025-01-19 7.638881 11.232745 15.829334 22.016751 29.993359 39.789890 52.575378
2025-01-26 6.966942 10.736199 15.721490 22.627848 31.759753 43.223384 58.479901
2025-02-02 6.341846 10.220430 15.515619 23.050457 33.248206 46.307100 63.995131
2025-02-09 5.673624 9.563718 15.044648 23.051128 34.134136 48.599434 68.521924
2025-02-16 4.833585 8.560376 13.994425 22.158904 33.733422 49.144384 70.739801
2025-02-23 4.286983 7.941109 13.436147 21.900768 34.154029 50.752958 74.361456
2025-03-02 3.747824 7.273120 12.744863 21.388958 34.166041 51.773148 77.183983
2025-03-09 3.348094 6.788714 12.289026 21.182398 34.580155 53.329552 80.745026
2025-03-16 2.936657 6.243056 11.698105 20.736816 34.625962 54.375277 83.642697
2025-03-23 2.688221 5.956383 11.497546 20.873035 35.523148 56.634883 88.272935
2025-03-30 2.422505 5.607461 11.163945 20.770842 36.042290 58.350325 92.160480
2025-04-06 2.243643 5.402023 11.054321 21.015047 37.088147 60.845538 97.204551
2025-04-13 2.071593 5.189963 10.914655 21.195110 38.029922 63.200560 102.087632
2025-04-20 1.976582 5.122537 11.023575 21.789382 39.635631 66.572653 108.512542
2025-04-27 1.862738 5.003016 11.027563 22.200049 40.954666 69.538688 114.395802
2025-05-04 1.704462 4.769759 10.803296 22.200923 41.604530 71.498606 118.823849
2025-05-11 1.457382 4.307189 10.109090 21.335201 40.796043 71.194770 119.857106
2025-05-18 1.306191 4.042877 9.773936 21.084781 40.985063 72.420358 123.195950
2025-05-25 1.145317 3.732035 9.319908 20.588268 40.732797 72.937783 125.456515